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Health

The array is working normally: 103% of normal output for the sunlight over the last 30 days, with no incidents.

Production checked nightly at 10:15 PM · latest day Oct 13
  • Production103% of normal for the sunlight, last 30 dayschevron_right
  • Peak output18.4 kW best in the last 14 days (79% of the 23.3 kW array)chevron_right
  • BillsNeeds a look: 1 bill needs a reasonchevron_right

Production

Output for the sunlight · % of normal

  • Normal
  • Incident
0%50%100%150%MayJunJulAugSepOctIncident below 75%

Incidents

  • Aug 21, 2026Needs a look: 52% of normal · 47.0 kWh lost · low for 1 h 15 minchevron_right
chevron_rightHow production is checked

Every interval, output is divided by the sunlight the Tempest measured and the array's kilowatts. Before the Tempest went up in October 2024, Open-Meteo's hourly satellite estimate stands in. A day's score is that ratio over its sunny intervals (300 W/m² or more) against the median of the 30 days before it on the same sunlight source, so season, heat and the sensor's flat mounting cancel out.

A day is an incident when it scores under 75%, or when output stays under 60% of normal for an hour or more in strong sun (500 W/m² or more), which catches an inverter that trips for part of a day. Passing cloud the sensor sees and the panels don't gives runs of 15–30 minutes. Days with under two hours of sun aren't judged.

Since October 2026 both gateways are also read every minute. The Powerwall gateway meters the whole array; the expansion inverter's own gateway meters it alone, so the two original inverters can be told apart from the expansion. A sudden fall on one side while the other holds steady is counted as an inverter drop.

Bills that need review

Bills that need a look
BillWhat's unusualReason
Aug 2026Needs review
  • Energy from the grid was 53% above its recent average.
—
  • Aug 2026Needs review
    • Energy from the grid was 53% above its recent average.
    —
chevron_right

Reviewed

Bills with a reason on file
BillWhat's unusualReason
Jul 2026Reviewed
  • Solar was 32% above its recent average.
install
Apr 2026Reviewed
  • Solar was 25% above its recent average.
other
Sep 2025Reviewed
  • The bill was 268% above its recent average.
ev load shift
Jul 2025Reviewed
  • House use was 54% above its recent average.
seasonal
Feb 2024Reviewed
  • Solar was 69% above its recent average.
other
Dec 2023Reviewed
  • The bill was 88% below its recent average.
  • Energy from the grid was 89% below its recent average.
install
Nov 2023Reviewed
  • The bill was 81% below its recent average.
  • Energy from the grid was 83% below its recent average.
install
  • Jul 2026Reviewed
    • Solar was 32% above its recent average.
    install
  • Apr 2026Reviewed
    • Solar was 25% above its recent average.
    other
  • Sep 2025Reviewed
    • The bill was 268% above its recent average.
    ev load shift
  • Jul 2025Reviewed
    • House use was 54% above its recent average.
    seasonal
  • Feb 2024Reviewed
    • Solar was 69% above its recent average.
    other
  • Dec 2023Reviewed
    • The bill was 88% below its recent average.
    • Energy from the grid was 89% below its recent average.
    install
  • Nov 2023Reviewed
    • The bill was 81% below its recent average.
    • Energy from the grid was 83% below its recent average.
    install

Data health

Data health checks
CheckResultWhere
Skipped days OKEvery day has a daily total—
Gaps over 30 minutes Marked12 gaps, longest 76.7 h; drawn as gaps, not averagesSep 19, 2026 8:15 AM (5.0 h),Aug 25, 2026 12:00 AM (0.7 h),Aug 24, 2026 9:30 PM (1.0 h),Aug 24, 2026 4:00 PM (1.0 h),Aug 18, 2026 1:15 AM (1.0 h),Aug 17, 2026 11:45 PM (0.8 h)and 6 more
Energy balance Look14 bills off by more than 10% of house use, 9 already marked estimated. Not marked: Jan 2025, 409 kWh more came in than the house used (house use under-counted, or import over-counted); Feb 2025, 162 kWh more came in than the house used (house use under-counted, or import over-counted); Mar 2025, 191 kWh more came in than the house used (house use under-counted, or import over-counted); Oct 2025, 395 kWh more came in than the house used (house use under-counted, or import over-counted); Dec 2025, 343 kWh more came in than the house used (house use under-counted, or import over-counted)Jan 2024 +31% (432 kWh),Feb 2024 +15% (194 kWh),May 2024 −13% (−343 kWh),Jun 2024 +10% (287 kWh),Aug 2024 +21% (574 kWh),Oct 2024 +10% (241 kWh)and 8 more
Rate jumps over 10% Look5 bills, 2 on assumed ratesApr 2026 −33% assumed,Jan 2026 +10%,Aug 2025 +14%,Feb 2024 −17% assumed,Dec 2023 +10%
Estimated days Marked44 estimated or partly metered days in 5 stretches, hatched on the chartsAug 9, 2026 – Aug 11, 2026 estimated,Jun 24, 2026 – Jul 2, 2026 partly metered,May 24, 2026 estimated,May 23, 2026 estimated,Feb 1, 2026 – Mar 2, 2026 estimated
  • Skipped daysOKEvery day has a daily total—
  • Gaps over 30 minutesMarked12 gaps, longest 76.7 h; drawn as gaps, not averagesSep 19, 2026 8:15 AM (5.0 h),Aug 25, 2026 12:00 AM (0.7 h),Aug 24, 2026 9:30 PM (1.0 h),Aug 24, 2026 4:00 PM (1.0 h),Aug 18, 2026 1:15 AM (1.0 h),Aug 17, 2026 11:45 PM (0.8 h)and 6 more
  • Energy balanceLook14 bills off by more than 10% of house use, 9 already marked estimated. Not marked: Jan 2025, 409 kWh more came in than the house used (house use under-counted, or import over-counted); Feb 2025, 162 kWh more came in than the house used (house use under-counted, or import over-counted); Mar 2025, 191 kWh more came in than the house used (house use under-counted, or import over-counted); Oct 2025, 395 kWh more came in than the house used (house use under-counted, or import over-counted); Dec 2025, 343 kWh more came in than the house used (house use under-counted, or import over-counted)Jan 2024 +31% (432 kWh),Feb 2024 +15% (194 kWh),May 2024 −13% (−343 kWh),Jun 2024 +10% (287 kWh),Aug 2024 +21% (574 kWh),Oct 2024 +10% (241 kWh)and 8 more
  • Rate jumps over 10%Look5 bills, 2 on assumed ratesApr 2026 −33% assumed,Jan 2026 +10%,Aug 2025 +14%,Feb 2024 −17% assumed,Dec 2023 +10%
  • Estimated daysMarked44 estimated or partly metered days in 5 stretches, hatched on the chartsAug 9, 2026 – Aug 11, 2026 estimated,Jun 24, 2026 – Jul 2, 2026 partly metered,May 24, 2026 estimated,May 23, 2026 estimated,Feb 1, 2026 – Mar 2, 2026 estimated
chevron_rightHow unusual bills are found

A bill is flagged when house use, the bill amount, solar or energy from the grid is at least 2 standard deviations from the average of the previous 12 bills (at least 3 needed), or when the bill's energy used, energy delivered or billed kWh differ from the battery system's import, export or net import over the same billing period by 10% and 25 kWh or more. The battery side is the difference of its lifetime meter counters across the period, so a missing day doesn't skew it. When billed kWh agrees but used or delivered don't, the bill figures are the likely problem. Saving a reason moves the bill to Reviewed; it stays there even if the check keeps firing.

Data health: a skipped day has no daily row, or a row with no totals, up to the last day whose row should exist; readings over 30 minutes apart are 15-minute rows closing a gap, drawn as gaps rather than averages; the energy balance is solar + import − export − house, flagged when it is more than 10% of house use (a battery loses a few percent, so measured bills sit near +4%); a rate jump is a bill whose rate moved more than 10% from the previous bill's (assumed rates are bills with no billed kWh); estimated or partly metered days are the ones hatched on the charts. Skipped days also raise a Slack alert.

Suggestions: capacity factor (solar_kwh ÷ (system_size_dc × hours)) under 13% for three bills; the last 12 bills' solar under 90% of the PVWatts projection for the same billing periods, at the array size of the time; average house use of the last three bills 15% above the same bills a year earlier, when all six had solar for the whole bill.